The Unlikely Scenario of a US-Initiated American War: A Roosevelt-Free World

#USHistory#AmericanDiplomacy#FDR#MonroeDoctrine#WorldWarII

TL;DR

This article analyzes the highly improbable possibility of the United States becoming the epicenter of a global conflict in the Americas had Franklin D. Roosevelt not ascended to the presidency. The argument hinges on the pre-existing Monroe Doctrine and the established American dominance in the Americas during World War II. This inherent American hegemony, unlike the expansionist ambitions of Japan and Germany, rendered a re-division of the American sphere of influence unnecessary and highly unlikely under any leader.

The prevailing geopolitical landscape of the early 20th century, particularly in the Western Hemisphere, painted a picture of American dominance long before Franklin D. Roosevelt. The Monroe Doctrine, articulated in 1823, unequivocally declared the Americas as the sphere of influence for the United States. This foundational principle, though not without historical challenges, established a clear, albeit sometimes tacit, understanding of the American perspective towards its neighbors.

Crucially, the article posits that the likelihood of the US instigating a war to redistribute its own sphere of influence in the Americas was, and would have remained, virtually nil. This contrasts sharply with the motivations of other major powers during World War II. Japan's pursuit of the Greater East Asia Co-Prosperity Sphere and Germany's ambitions for European domination were driven by a desire for territorial expansion and the redistribution of existing power structures. These were fundamentally expansionist designs, aimed at supplanting existing powers. In stark contrast, the US, under any president at the time, would not have had the same imperative to wage war to re-conquer its own “backyard.”

The argument further refutes the notion that Roosevelt's New Deal was instrumental in saving the American economy during the Great Depression. The article contends that the recovery was primarily driven by the inflationary pressures and military industrial complex spurred by the worsening European situation. This economic recovery, therefore, would have been largely unaffected by a different leader.

In conclusion, the article asserts that the fundamental structure of American power in the Americas, as defined by the Monroe Doctrine and the realities of World War II, would have made a US-initiated war for the re-division of the American sphere of influence exceptionally improbable, regardless of who occupied the White House. The US was not, and would not have been, driven by the same expansionist impulses that motivated other major powers in the era.

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